Introduction
Exploration and Production companies often must evaluate their potential E&P investment using proper present value analysis of expected future cashflows. From the projected cashflows and required investments, the annual rate of return and other project economic indicators can be extracted to evaluate the significance of company investment.
This Petroleum Project Economics & Risk Analysis training course provides practical guidance in the application of the techniques of the economic analysis currently used in the Oil & Gas industry. When executing a petroleum related project, one should be able to choose the best alternative from economic point of view as well as to properly evaluate various investment opportunities by determining economic indicators and sensitivity analysis. Techniques for predicting profit, production, costs, and cashflow enable the analyst to evaluate decision alternatives for optimum results. Understanding economic indicators, risk and uncertainty, different economic structures such as tax regimes and production sharing contracts, enhances the quality and the value of economic analysis.
Course Objectives:
The primary objectives of this training course are to:
- Understand various economic terms used in the Oil & Gas industry
- Understand how to develop economic models of various petroleum fiscal regimes
- Carry out cashflow analysis, different economic analyses for petroleum related project and determine economic indicators
- Evaluate and quantify risks and uncertainties
- Make the right investment decision in the presence of risk
- Carry out a comprehensive economic evaluation study for any petroleum related project including risk analysis and sensitivity study using spreadsheet
- Contribute to the petroleum project investment within a solid economic system and do a detailed economic evaluation
- Contribute to the decision-making process for any petroleum related project
WHO Should Attend?
This Petroleum Project Economics & Risk Analysis training course is designed to provide technical and practical approaches to executing a petroleum related project in upstream sector.
This training course is suitable to a wide range of professionals but will greatly benefit:
- Oil & Gas Field Engineers
- Oil & Gas Managers
- Oil & Gas Auditors
- Oil & Gas Planners
- Financial Analysts
- Project Management Professionals
Course Outline
Cashflow Analysis
- Familiarization with Economic terms
- Setting up Cashflow Calculation
- Depreciation Methods
- Loss Carry Forwards
- Inflation
- Nominal & Real Cashflow
- Sunk Costs
- Project Financing
Economic Indicators
- Economic Indicators Definitions
- Present Value Concept
- Discount Factor
- Net Present Value
- Internal Rate of Return
- Effect of Project Delay
- Payback Period
- Profit / Investment Ratio
- Incremental Projects
Risks and Uncertainties
- Risk & Uncertainty
- Expected Value Concept
- Decision Tree Analysis
- Farm-out Decision
- Probability Analysis
- Sensitivity Analysis
- Probability Distribution
- Monte Carlo Simulation
Setting up Spreadsheet Calculation
- Introduction to Spreadsheet Calculation
- Simple Cashflow using Excel
- NPV Calculations
- Application of Economic Indicators
- Class Discussion
Setting up Oil Field Development Model
- Setting up an Integrated Economic Model of a Typical Oil Field Development
- Project Sensitivity Analysis for the Selected Model
- Introduction to Russell Field Model
- Final Remarks